Would you rather have DLC or no DLC?
WAIT WAIT WAIT before you answer....this is what happens if you choose to have DLC.
Numbers are low and even though DLC has been released, they still remain low. Only around 3k people online. Only around 2k(optimistic) buy DLC. The 1k that don't are screwed. Okay, whatever, you have your DLC and now you're happy. But then....the rest of the DLC comes out. By the time the final pack arrives, there will be around 9 different pools of players. 3k/9. Lots of lag. The only gamemode playable will be TDM(and it will still lag like hell.)
So I ask again. DLC or no DLC(until our numbers grow)?
You see, now if you all went to school and did your homework (snowyday) you would see this fella is right..
Erm...let me try this again then....let's see...
No DLC bought
Only first DLC bought
Only first and second DLC bought
Only first and third DLC bought
Only first and fourth DLC bought
Only second DLC bought
Only second and third DLC bought
Only second and fourth DLC bought
Only third DLC bought
Only third and fourth DLC bought
Only fourth DLC bought
I think I just confused myself.
Point is, lots of pools, not enough people=Lag
1 = reg map rotation
2 = first map pack
3 = second map pack
4 = third map pack
5 = fourth map pack
1 (players who did not buy any map packs)
1,2,3,4,5 (players who bought all map packs)
Looks like i made an error too. 16* groups. But yeah, eitherway it would divide up the player count too much. Out of 6,000-10,000 people constantly playing every week, that number divided by 16 would still result in a number max of 625 people per week that have at least 1 map pack, and a minimum of 375. If we were to assume that this number for per day, it would likely be lower. With the numbers Black Ops 2 gives, that's 3,000-6,000. So, in this case there would be a maximum estimate of 375 people on everyday who bought a map pack and a minimum of 187.5 (rounded to 188) people daily. Spread this across some game modes and that further divides the numbers. If everyone plays TDM, then it looks like TDM would be the only playable game mode for those who bought map packs. In either situation it's still a lose. More people are grouped together in one game mode, and you can only play that game mode, or you will have players spread out throughout multiple games modes which can lead to trouble finding matches and more lag.
Another assumption: The scale i did above can both reflect the number of players at its highest and lowest peaks. The lowest peak will be those who buy every map pack, and the highest peak will be of those who don't buy any map packs. The more map packs are bought, the smaller that category of players will be. Even if you're to assume players will buy each map pack, realistically not everyone will buy every map pack. Players will be choosey based on what they hear about each map pack and how well each of the maps in that pack are received. So, the chances of a person buying all map packs would be significantly lower than the chances of a player only buying one or two map packs.
In any case, no DLC would be the better choice. If the time spent on porting DLC went into fixing the game so it would have more work better, then that would be time better well spent, IMO.
I wanted to post this yesterday, but i wasn't sure where you got that number from.